There are still blacksmiths, out there doing specialty work. There will always be application developers. And yes, I may have the timeframe wrong. However, the rate at which things are accelerating I really do think most of the simple stuff will be gone.

I think it's probably right. 50 years is a long time.

I've been coding professionally for 30 years. And programming isn't really much different now than it was 30 years ago. The tools are better, yes. But we're still sitting at desks in front of a screen, entering code into computers as text, with keyboards.

Perhaps there will be a threshold reached where suddenly that goes away. But I'm not holding my breath.