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Re:UK Prime Minister Theresa May announces intention to hold... by aembleton on Tuesday April 18, 2017 @07:27AM (#14137920)
Doesn't really matter what three countries want. You'd need to get agreement from 27 countries. That is why trade deals are so hard for the EU to do. I really doubt we'll be getting a deal in the next two years.

A more likely outcome is a French Exit or the collapse of a large Italian bank causing the end of the EU as we know it. Then we can make trade deals with individual countries.

Re:UK Prime Minister Theresa May announces intention to hold... by pjc50 on Tuesday April 18, 2017 @10:09AM (#14138911)
If this was going to happen, it would have happened during the peak of "Grexit" talk about Greece. Greece were doing incredibly badly out of the EU at that point, far worse than the UK could ever be said to be experiencing, and decided not to leave. That's why I don't think further fragmentation is likely, and the banking system has been shored up.

French exit would kill the EU, but I think we'll see another narrow defeat for Le Pen. But I could be wrong there, it's volatile.