I would totally expect this kind of thing to be already in the wild for the simple reason that people have been saying this sort of thing is possible for many years, it is just not the sort of thing that once the parties capable of doing it have found a practical exploit that they are then going to turn around and publish it to make the world a better place.

On the contrary, it will be hoarded and used against suitable targets.

An earlier hacker news thread around this theme:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10905643

In the wild as in "being actively exploited" yes, that's quite possible, but it's not a practical exploit for large-scale hacks on devices.

The required firmware changes are likely to be somewhat different for each version of the radio hardware and firmware and each carrier's OS variants. That means that you'd either need a very sophisticated set of exploit code (which means complicated and bulky when you may not have a lot of space to play with and may be working in hand-optimized assembler) or that you need to narrow your focus to only specified handsets. Even after that, you then have to have a WiFi access point pushing this, so even if you're in a high-traffic area such as a city downtown or an airport you're going to impact a relatively small percentage of devices.

If you have control of a large botnet of compromised WiFi routers you might be able to push this from those, but the more you do that the more likely you are to be discovered, and you're still going to have the problem of selectivity.

What this all translates to is that exploiting this on a wide scale would require a lot of resources and extremely skilled developers while also being at fairly high risk of detection. Using this for highly targeted attacks on the other hand would allow for less work generalizing the attack and could probably go undetected. Further, if someone not a state actor has "weaponized" this their best option for making money on it would likely be to sell the exploit to either a government or to one of the groups who specializes in targeted hacking.

It all depends on who you are. Politician or CEO of a multinational or a company related to defense? Political activist? Enemy of the state? The opposition? Hacker?

It doesn't have to be 'large scale' to be effective and given how hidden an attack like this could be (and how easy it would be to erase the fact that it was even there) it may have been used on your device and you still wouldn't be aware of it or able to prove that it was.

If you do a little bit of "open source intelligence" you can find the author of this exploit used to be employed in an Isreali Defense Force - Elite Technological Unit.

Read between the lines where he got the idea to do an exploit like this.

There probably is a revolving door between the top tech companies and the various intelligence agencies. Nice sleuthing!

I dunno about revolving. The pay in the private sector is very good. Tons of folks who worked in the IDF end up at tech companies for two reasons:

(1) almost everyone goes through the IDF thanks to mandatory service

(2) if you have aptitude you end up in the signal Corp, who are good at what they do.

I wouldn't call this a conspiracy, and the parents speculation is very thin. If the author got this from the IDF they almost certainly wouldn't be publishing; breaking that kind of confidentiality can end really badly

Is the iPhone actually more secure than a Samsung running Android?

And I don't think LineageOS is going to fix the problem since it (probably) uses the same Broadcom driver in the Linux kernel.

In the case of the Broadcom exploits being discussed in this series of articles, yes, the iPhone is almost certainly more secure than most (all?) Samsung devices with Android. In particular, the iOS 10.3.1 update released a week ago addresses "An attacker within range may be able to execute arbitrary code on the Wi-Fi chip" and credits the author of these articles and Google Project Zero. Because most iOS updates aren't carrier restricted (maybe on Verizon?) that update should be available to any device capable of running iOS 10.

If there are corresponding releases from Samsung I don't remember seeing any mention of them, and even so they'd presumably be waiting for carriers to approve them so there's a chance that some of them will be released by the time people are replacing their current phones anyway.

As for LineageOS, they may be able to address things in the driver, but in my somewhat outdated experience most ROMs don't touch the radio firmware. Radio firmware updates are a completely separate item.

Supported Google Nexus and Pixel phones have the fix as well, I see "Remote code execution vulnerability in Broadcom Wi-Fi firmware" listed on the April update:

https://source.android.com/security/bulletin/2017-04-01

I'd regard Nexus and Pixel phones to be the equivalent of iPhones for something like this - they get updates directly from the "manufacturer"/Google, much as iPhones get updates from Apple.

Samsung-branded devices sold primarily through carriers on the other hand get updates when they finish passing through the system of Google->handset maker->carrier and often both the handset makers and carriers are big delay points.

(Almost?) no one has that update yet. Sample size 1.

That's strange, do you have auto-updates disabled? My understanding is that it was immediately released. My Nexus 6P has it, I got it the same day it was released or a day after. Screenshot of my About Phone screen:

http://m.imgur.com/APSvk8Z