I agree, it looks grim. Actually losing half a billion+, though, depends on some hairball of laws, judges, juristictions, and so forth...around actual damages, punitive measures, forfeiture in a separate criminal case, etc. Handslaps aren't uncommon, and neither are the opposite...awards that seem too large. There's also the degree to which Uber is culpable (provably, legally) vs Levandowski personally.

Would be interested in hearing a prediction from an IP lawyer.