Re:Koomey's law
by gwern on Friday March 31, 2017 @12:28PM
(#14005396)
A version, perhaps, at least for GPUs - you can tell because we've gotten much faster new chips like the Pascal GPUs, but no one has needed to run new power lines to their rooms in order to use them.
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Pascal was indeed a big jump in efficiency, but that by itself doesn't really reflect the longer term trend. Prior to Pascal efficiency had stalled for a couple of years as GPUs were stuck on a 28nm process for much longer than previous node sizes. This pattern is likely to continue as advancements in fabrication continue to slow down and architectural gains become smaller.
This is my guess. I think that soon we will start to hit limits for single threaded performance so eventually we will just keep adding support for more threads to increase performance
That's only because it's cheaper to build a whole new facility