Starting to bike doesn't solve climate change problems.
Not sure how you would plant a raspberry tree in a New York apartment.
There is very little the normal person can do about climate change without radically changing the way they live their lives and thats just not an option for most people.
Biking definitely can solve climate change. Seems to me that people simply do not get it through their heads that climate change starts with what they expect out of life. As long as everyone wants to drive an SUV or a fucking pickup truck because it is "safe", live 25 miles from work, own a new smartphone every two years, have a perfectly manicured front and back yard etc., we are all fucked. For too many people, climate change is a "their" problem:
* Wind turbines? Sure, just not in my backyard because it spoils my fucking view.
* Nuclear reactors? Hmm, maybe, but definitely not in my state, and preferably not in my country.
* Not travelling to exotic locations every holiday, and instead going on local hikes a bit more? No way!
* Give up owning a new smartphone every two years? Dead on Arrival.
* Wearing a sweater indoors in the winter instead of constant 25 deg C temperature indoors and 20 minute hot showers? Go fuck yourself. No, but look! I installed a Nest thermostat, so the do-gooder halo around my head is glowing bright!
* Biking to work? I can't! Live too far from home this and sweaty at work that.
Nothing but excuses. And wait! Is this uber-consumeristic lifestyle making me happier? No?! How is that possible?
Climate change is NOT a problem that more technology can solve. It is a sociological problem. A problem of what people expect out of life. As long as people keep thinking it's the politicians at fault and they don't owe anyone a damn thing, well, we'll keep on keeping on with business as usual. And you know what business as usual is? We haven't even started decreasing the rate of CO2 increase, what to talk of a zero emission civilization.
Sorry this is incoherent and comes across as a jab at you. It's not. It's just me expressing my frustration as an engineer. I hate that the layperson is convinced that it is engineering that will solve climate change, and That Technology to cure us of all ails is just around the corner. It's not. We need to stop fucking raiding this planet.
I also disagree that they are insignificant drops in the bucket. The point I'm trying to make is that "culture" is infuriatingly hand-wavy and difficult to quantify, but it matters. As an example, I live in Geneva. Here, all shops close at 7 PM. This means that there less commercial activity past those hours, fewer people mindlessly roaming around in malls etc. Now, surely there are regulations guiding this too, but any government official wanting to undo this because "muh freedom", will be laughed out of the room because there is a culture here that treats this as deeply important.
[1]: http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2014/04/06/frugal_living_in_m...
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/06/realestate/sure-build-it-...
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/05/19/upshot/forty-...
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/10/upshot/popping-the-housin...
Okay, now I've eaten dinner and had some coffee. So what was my gripe with your comment?
1) It makes a strong, absolute claim with no evidence. Have you studied nonlinear systems? Even informally? We're dealing with hugely non-linear systems. Little things can compound into tumultuous waves. Look at the way viral memes spread. Culture changes in tumultuous waves. One generation might be hopelessly lost, while the next one comes in with unbelievable clarity, saying "that's just obvious."
2) It's implicitly discouraging of other peoples' perspectives and wisdoms. Imagine some great singer had let their irritable aunt or uncle's mean comments get to them when they were little and couldn't quite keep a pitch. We are learning, and there are without a doubt many, many ways to approach and tackle this. If anything, tackling something so ominously looming is going to take some serious imagination, vision and hope. You might not be hateful, but one doesn't need to be hateful or malicious to be discouraging or to play the part of hater.
3) Culture has, can, does, and will affect industry. Maybe not overnight, but they are inevitably interdependent. We have the power to engage with norms and at the very least set examples. We have the power to abstain, to moderate, to make demands, to dream, to actualize, on short and long term scales. In another comment, you pointed out that people are not systems, they are human beings. To me, that's actually a strength. It makes this struggle messier, but to me it's also an asset. It means that we have the ability to undergo rebirth in imagination and culture, which in the long haul makes us resilient and adaptable.
you are basically asking humans not to be human which i believe is a common engineering blind spot :)
dont hate the players hate the game.
This is where I'm really happy that the cult of mustachianism[1] is spreading as virally as it is. More people than anyone could ever have imagined, up and down the economic spectrum and up and down the Cost Of Living spectrum, are banding together to save money, and by extension, reducing their carbon footprint.
It's getting big enough that I get the feeling that the new status signifier is (slowly/glacially) becoming being able to live without excess. This is great because it will slowly shift the goalposts of what people aspire to.
[1]: http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2012/03/07/frugality-the-new-...
you arent seeing humans change, you are seeing technology allowing for other types of living but any actual effect on climate they wont have.
Edit: why the down vote? care to qualify rather than going trough all my comments you dont like and downvote them whoever you are?
The fact is we need regulations and incentives to do the right thing.
just becuase its luck and we dont lime that doesn't mean regulation will work, thats simply the wrong way to think about this.
And the person who needs to drive, presumably they live in a suburb or a place with a yard, and they could plant 10 raspberry bushes.
Come on! Enough with the excuses! It's getting me down!
I'm not saying that people should go and sabotage themselves. I'm saying that there are lots of different things that different people can do to upset this situation.
A big one for me is not buying new if at all possible. That goes for computers, cell phones, cars, clothes, etc.
The thing is that if you really were to change your life for it to have an effect we wouldn't do it. Just the threat to reliable food supply is enough to make most people accept things as they are.
There are two things you can do which are the only rational things to do.
1) Invent non-polluting, technical solutions that either produce, at scale, enough energy to replace existing solutions and which are easy to implement
2) Prepare for the consequence of climate change and find solutions to help that.
Thats what you can do. Shouting on FB, Twitter or HN doesn't help anyone.
I think those are the two things that you can rationally do! But not everyone is you. I think that your focus on technical and engineering solutions is actually a "one finger points three point back" kind of situation. I think that you are probably capable in those solutions, and I encourage you to take them as strengths, not as the only solutions possible.
Here's an example, one that comes to mind, of another skillset that's going to be valuable in times to come: mediation. I live in Minnesota, where it's very cold in the winter (gets down to -30 to -40 F) and very hot in the summer (gets up to 100 to 105 F of humid heat every year). I see the effects of heat. People get violent, impatient, antsy. Stuff comes out. Pots boil over. There are is quality research into these correlations (http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/01/opinion/sunday/weather-and...), so it's not just anecdotal. When times get hot around here, what we need is conversation, patience, spiritual introspection, therapies, caring people. We are going to need people with good leadership, with soft skills, who have the ability to motivate people, to guide people out of conflict, to model what's possible. Artists, parents, teachers, even just plain old solid friends who hold people together.
Okay, I'm not arguing that these are "the solutions to climate change". What I'm arguing is that they are necessary pieces of the puzzle!
"The thing is that if you really were to change your life for it to have an effect we wouldn't do it. Just the threat to reliable food supply is enough to make most people accept things as they are."
I've seen people change so drastically over the course of one lifetime, because they had to in order to survive. I've seen my religiously conservative people close to me go from being homophobic and anti-drug to being open minded and hearted. I've seen my somebody go from seriously flailing (with chronic substance issues, suicidal thoughts, body image struggles, etc) to being one of the most kick ass moms I know in 1 year flat. Don't underestimate! "When the spirit says move, move". And people will move.
P.S. I'm planning on building a web app to help people do interactively plan companion planting and permaculture gardens. If you're interested I'll let you know when I put up the source. I'll probably post it on here either way.
Instead of lulling people into the believe that human culture on its own can change things perhaps the time was better spent on the things that actually help. You havent provided anything but an emotional argument that culture can solve this, nor is there any evidence in history which points to this.
Technological progress brought us in this situation, technological progress can get us out of it.
The problem is not the individual consumer but the whole system that supports them and that wont be going anywhere as most people dont have the luxury of spending time planting or meditating.
Anecdotes on people changing is not anything but a great story. Of course people change but your argument need them to change in exactly the same way which is exactly the wrong way to understand humans. We aren't rational agents.
Even if not driving is not an option, there's always carpooling which should approximately halve the impact of driving alone.
We can either wait for climate change to disrupt our lives, or we can disrupt climate change.
Not sure how you would plant a raspberry tree in a New York apartment.
Buying a brand new fuel efficient car is generally suboptimal for a NYC apartment dweller as well.I wouldn't be terribly surprised if all the driving around people do on Arbor Day makes the direct effect negative.
There are so many things we can do, and these people are telling us that "the winner" is driving brand new fuel efficient cars, hot off the assembly line? What about biking? Walking? What about changing our habits so as not to rely as much on cars in the first place. How about not driving? There are people who don't drive at all, you could become one of them. What would it take?
How about some gardening? Plant a raspberry bush or a tree. If everyone planted a tree, do you know how many trees that would be? Billions of new trees. It wouldn't be very difficult. It would be much more affordable than buying a brand new electric vehicle.