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A comment on Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy the following conditions”. Parent comment

Re:Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy th... by wruza on Tuesday March 14, 2017 @01:27PM (#13869559)
There definitely is a way, that's how all research is done. You send three groups there, one that doesn't touch anything, one that touches his nose, and another one that touches nose of the fake statue, without knowing that it is fake. If second group appears to have more luck than the other two over time, then it works.
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Re:Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy th... by mden on Tuesday March 14, 2017 @01:37PM (#13869637)
This unfortunately does not account for different groups having different starting luck. I suppose you can in part handle that by having very large groups but since luck is luck simply the process of selection, even if random, is biased which gives you another problem.
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Re:Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy th... by pougetj on Tuesday March 14, 2017 @02:26PM (#13870106)
Which is why units should be randomly selected into each groups to avoid confounding factors like the one you mention.
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Re:Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy th... by wiml on Tuesday March 14, 2017 @02:59PM (#13870423)
Ah, but a person with preëxisting good luck might be preferentially randomly selected into the nose-touching group, amplifying the effect and making it hard to measure its size.
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Re:Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy th... by wruza on Tuesday March 14, 2017 @03:22PM (#13870633)
You throw out min/max results anyway before analyzis.
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Re:Chekhov: “Cultured people must, in my opinion, satisfy th... by eternalban on Tuesday March 14, 2017 @02:43PM (#13870262)
I agree. A single person -- and who better than siberianbear? -- can experiment with taking risks and carefully noting if he touched Chekov's nose or not that day.
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