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Re:Channel your Inner VC to Understand Startup Valuations by webwright on Thursday May 27, 2010 @03:33PM (#1384697)
I think Joe missed one of the crucial considerations in valuation... How many doors you close with a high valuation.

If you close $3m on a $10m post-money valuation, you're signing up to build a $100m company (see http://www.angelblog.net/VC_Mandatory_Moonshot_The_Unwritten... ). If things aren't going great (i.e. growth has plateaued), you MIGHT be able to sell for $50m.

This is especially true if you take money from a BIG venture fund (who has $500m under management and needs to see BIG exits to move the needle).

Looking at the chart here ( http://redeye.firstround.com/2007/07/the-unintention.html ), the vast majority of exits are under $100m... Which means that committing yourself to be north of that means a long road and a lot of risk.

Re:Channel your Inner VC to Understand Startup Valuations by joshu on Thursday May 27, 2010 @05:55PM (#1385047)
Came here to point that out.
Re:Channel your Inner VC to Understand Startup Valuations by jheitzeb on Thursday May 27, 2010 @07:10PM (#1385187)
Yeah, good point... That is a big (biggest?) part of a typical VC's way of thinking. Similarly on the founder's side is the "emotional control" factor in determining exits and decisions in spite of the terms and VC's objectives. Have you seen any posts about that aspect?