Do they have a leader who is disconnected from regular life, poses in absurd settings and gets his information from intelligence agencies? Check.
Do they have a political system that has an internally dysfunctional economy and that needs external enemies to keep people from looking at what happens domestically? Check.
Do they repress internal opposition? Check.
Do they despise democracy? Check.
Do they have a media that is spreading propaganda about neighbours and is controlled by the government? Check.
Do they think in terms of "spheres of influence"? Check.
There are enough parallels to Stalin's USSR to make neighbours worried.
People are not happy and it is 2017, exactly a century since the Great October Revolution of 1917. This severely limits them in search of external enemies.
Ukrainian regime actually does not want the war to end. The oligarchs there are very much OK with plundering the country while playing the external enemy card. If war stopped the population would turn their attention inward and they have nothing to show for their time in power.
Do they have Russian military bases of strategic importance? No.
Do they have population that is ethnically Russian? No.