Re:Should economists be more concerned about AI?
by rahimnathwani on Thursday March 02, 2017 @03:09AM
(#13772482)
"we would expect income to be a good predictor of voting for Trump right? It wasn't [0]"
The figures in that article are all aggregates (at county level) and say nothing about whether an individual's income level correlates with voting for Trump.
Imagine a scenario in which there are two types of county:
- Type A: High median income; high income inequality (as measured by Gini coefficient)
- Type B: Low median income; low income inequality
If there are more Trump supporters in A than B, does that suggest that low income doesn't encourage voting for Trump? Not necessarily: perhaps low income relative to neighbours or living costs encourages voting for Trump.
I'm not saying income isn't a good predictor for voting for Trump. However, I'm not sure the post you cited demonstrates that either way.
The figures in that article are all aggregates (at county level) and say nothing about whether an individual's income level correlates with voting for Trump.
Imagine a scenario in which there are two types of county:
- Type A: High median income; high income inequality (as measured by Gini coefficient)
- Type B: Low median income; low income inequality
If there are more Trump supporters in A than B, does that suggest that low income doesn't encourage voting for Trump? Not necessarily: perhaps low income relative to neighbours or living costs encourages voting for Trump.
I'm not saying income isn't a good predictor for voting for Trump. However, I'm not sure the post you cited demonstrates that either way.