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A comment on Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence?. Parent comment

Re:Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence? by vectorpush on Sunday February 26, 2017 @01:31PM (#13738779)
Consider that 41% of those surveyed conclude that machines will never be able to "simulate learning and every other aspect of human intelligence". The next 41% conclude it is possible within an unbounded "more than 50 years". It seems to me that the vast majority of experts are pretty skeptical.
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Re:Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence? by Houshalter on Sunday February 26, 2017 @01:46PM (#13738892)
That's not 41%, that's 4.1%. When asked when there would be a 90% of AI, the median answer was 2075.
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Re:Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence? by vectorpush on Sunday February 26, 2017 @01:53PM (#13738957)
No. It's definitely 41%. Look at page 6 of your link

    The earliest that machines will be able to simulate learning and every other
    aspect of human intelligence:
    
    Within 10 years 6 5%
    Between 11 and 25 years 3 2%
    Between 26 and 50 years 14 11%
    More than 50 years 50 41%
    Never 50 41%
    Totals 123 100%
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Re:Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence? by Houshalter on Sunday February 26, 2017 @01:59PM (#13739015)
That's in the prior work section. It's a much older survey of one specific conference.
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Re:Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence? by gydfi on Sunday February 26, 2017 @04:20PM (#13739953)
And was the other survey a comprehensive survey of everybody?

The divergence in poll results seems to suggest we should put even less credence on polls here than usual.

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Re:Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence? by Houshalter on Sunday February 26, 2017 @07:23PM (#13740911)
It was in 2006 which is way before AI started seeing it's recent progress. And it was a conference full of old fashioned AI people.
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