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Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by ransom1538 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @05:39PM (#13647954)
So crops rot. The price goes up. Now they can make more money selling crops. So they can pay people more. What I am missing here?
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by groby_b on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:02PM (#13648131)
So many things.

In a first approximation: You can't sell crops that did rot. And the next harvest is next year.

Then there's of course the fact that almost nobody (with citizenship) actually wants to pick crops, no matter what you pay them, because it's back-breaking labor. Yes, there'd be a price at which they would, but that's not a price the public would pay for your crops.

Of course, if you don't give a shit about people and treat the world solely as an economics textbook, sure, this is perfectly normal and the market is working.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by dikdik on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:33PM (#13648346)
>Then there's of course the fact that almost nobody (with citizenship) actually wants to pick crops...

This is complete bullshit and needs to quit being touted. Americans are not afraid of hard, back-breaking labor. I grew up in the Midwest surrounded by corn and soy beans (and not too many illegal or legal immigrants). Tons of my white, middle class friends went out into the field to pollinate corn in the summers or went down to strawberry fields to pick when they came in season.

What a sheltered life you must lead if you've never met an American that does manual labor or works in a field...

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by monodeldiablo on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @07:26PM (#13648672)
It's not "complete bullshit". Even at the height of the Great Recession, with unemployment through the roof, American citizens were turning down field work in droves.[1]

I've seen it myself. Some of it's cultural -- manual farm work is seen as "beneath" people -- but most of it's economics. Nice that you grew up in a time and place where a citizen could afford to work in the fields, but those days are long gone. If you're not single and sharing the rent for your three bedroom house with 10 amigos, you're not going to make ends meet on farm labor wages and hours.

[1]: http://www.cbsnews.com/news/despite-economy-americans-dont-w...

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by flukus on Wednesday February 15, 2017 @02:03AM (#13650257)
Missing from that article is how much it costs people to take those jobs. Travel expenses, lost benefits, etc.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by keyanp on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @08:07PM (#13648886)
Do you mean children/teenagers? Sure, you can get kids to do farm work. I picked crops when I was much younger and it was indeed back-breaking labor. Now if you can find ~1 million adults to do that work then that is another story.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by aanm1988 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:54PM (#13648472)
For the wages and working conditions of illegal immigrants?
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Consultant32452 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:11PM (#13648186)
>but that's not a price the public would pay for your crops.

Maybe the public needs to get used to paying premium prices for premium work instead of outsourcing slavery to other countries or importing cheap slave-wage laborers illegally.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by icebraining on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:33PM (#13648345)
Or some will just automate, while others go out of business, and then you're left with still more expensive crops than before without any workers getting paid to pick them.

But I'm sure those "slaves" will thank you.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Consultant32452 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:52PM (#13648459)
Wall Street's interests are diametrically opposed to workers. Wall Street wants to turn good jobs into shitty jobs and ship them to more desperate poor people in poorer countries, whereas workers want the exact opposite. We've had 30 years of free trade and basically no border. A nudge in the other direction isn't going to be the end of the world. A blip on the jobs radar which comes along with stronger worker rights is gonna be okay.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by edblarney on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @07:04PM (#13648538)
"Then there's of course the fact that almost nobody (with citizenship) actually wants to pick crops, no matter what you pay them, because it's back-breaking labor. "

This is not true. There is absolutely a pay rate, and set of labour conditions in which Americans will do those jobs.

There are tons of innovation in labour: grabber/chopper rods so that people don't have to bend over all day - for example, could be one such innovation. But maybe it cuts down productivity by 30% - so in a 'cheap labour' world it would never be conceived of.

But if labour costs are high, and farm workers have to actually pay Americans - then guess what - those types of innovations definitely happen.

Do you realize how many 'really crap' jobs there are out there?

How about dealing with screaming customers all day on the phone, trying to 'upsell' them?

Some people prefer not dealing with issues, and doing something repetitive.

Also - the hypocrisy of employers not paying for social services, healthcare, taxes - etc. etc. - but the government giving them social services and 'access to emergency healthcare' and drivers licences?

Basically, farmers are externalizing the social costs of their labour onto you and I, in an inefficient way.

This is totally wrong.

Farmers - and others - are pushed to use 'illegal labour' because if 'the farmer next door' is doing it, and the 'farmer down the street is' - then they have no choice to.

The best thing is to make sure that everyone is paying minimum wage, taxes, basic healthcare, respecting workplace regulations etc. - and even hiring authorized workers.

This means that prices will rise for some things - and you and I will pay more for them in the store - but it's a far more responsible form of capitalism - and prices more accurately reflect cost to society.

Some things won't be able to be done in the US - that's fine. Move that to other places. Let Mexico and Africa have a cut of the business.

Finally - one way to accommodate a tight labour market in a legal and 'above bar' manner would be to allow for 'pink cards' - i.e. foreign workers can apply for 'pink cards' for specific intervals, they 'check in' and 'check out' of the country given that pink card. That card comes with a 'temp SID' which they can use to pay their taxes, and claim benefits associated with the term.

Unregulated black market economies are good for nobody in the long run, they lead to all sorts of problems and growing inequality.

Enforce immigration and workers laws, provide some ability to help with a tightened labour force (i.e. pink cards) and facilitate good trade flow (i.e. customs unions and free trade) for items which cannot be produced in the US.

"you don't give a shit about people and treat the world solely as an economics textbook"

Trust me - migrant workers 'don't get given a shit about' by anyone, because if they are 'off the books' they have absolutely no protections - nothing.

Put the economy 'above bar'.

There would be no war over migration if we just had some basic but intelligent rules that were responsibly enforced.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by dragonwriter on Wednesday February 15, 2017 @02:12AM (#13650284)
> This is not true. There is absolutely a pay rate, and set of labour conditions in which Americans will do those jobs.

But maybe not one at which the jobs would still exist; increasing price decreases market clearing quantity, ceteris paribus. You can either have poor wages and working conditions in farm labor, more direct government subsidies for agriculture, or less agriculture getting done in the US, because if you increase wages and thereby prices, you aren't going to move as much goods. Various treaties (and domestic politics) interfere with the second option, and there is overwhelming domestic political resistance to the last option, so we get the first even though it's frequently a source of complaints (and rests on the back of illegal immigration, which is itself unpopular).

Not endorsing any aspect of the state of affairs, but that's just the way it is.

> Some things won't be able to be done in the US - that's fine. Move that to other places. Let Mexico and Africa have a cut of the business.

Mexico has sizable food exports, as does pretty much every place with the arable land and political stability to grow export crops. Decreasing US production by increasing labor costs in the US for ag labor may make some additional production elsewhere economical that isn't already, but the main impact would be lower global production of food and higher global prices. Arable land isn't, unlike industrial capital, something that is readily movable to wherever labor and other conditions are most favorable to production.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by BrandonMarc on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:59PM (#13648503)
It's because I care about people that I want more fairness and honesty in the economic situation. The consequences you describe reflect how the market should have been, were it not for the destabilization of inconsistently applied labor laws.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by cm2187 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @05:44PM (#13648003)
Inflation. More expensive cost of living for your customers. Not a problem when your Apple gadget budget is a multiple of your food budget. But not everyone has this luxury. Protectionism in international trade will have similar impact. Tax chinese imports and suddenly walmart will hike their prices.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Consultant32452 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:08PM (#13648161)
One thing that's worth noting is that we've had virtually no inflation for a very long time. The wealth class prefers it this way, but the worker struggling to pay off debts wouldn't mind a little inflation every now and then.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by icebraining on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:24PM (#13648281)
What kinds of debts are you thinking of? I don't know any workers with long-term debts which aren't inflation adjusted (even if indirectly).

The whole idea of inflation reducing the value of debts seems silly. "We'll trick those bankers with this well known, mostly predictable, small decrease in the value of money! They'll never see it coming!"

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by AnthonyMouse on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:50PM (#13648444)
> What kinds of debts are you thinking of?

Mortgage loans, student loans, car loans, credit card debt, taxes paid in service to national debt, ...

> I don't know any workers with long-term debts which aren't inflation adjusted (even if indirectly).

Interest rates are somewhat inversely correlated with inflation.

Typically the only time you see high inflation and high interest rates together is when the economy is booming and people are willing to borrow despite the high interest rates. Then that borrowing, since banks create the money they loan you (they don't actually have all of it they just credit your account), causes inflation.

When inflation is caused by the government creating money, it causes interest rates to go down. Because the supply of money goes up so by supply and demand the price of money goes down. The price of money is the interest rate, therefore lower interest rates.

You would think banks wouldn't loan money if the interest rate is less than the rate of inflation, but remember again that they don't actually have all the money you borrow, they just credit your account and collect interest. Even if they had the money, it does them no good sitting in a vault depreciating -- 1% interest against 10% inflation is still more than the 0% they get by not loaning it to anyone.

The main problem is that the lower interest rates cause people to borrow more money, so the key is to combine the inflation with policies that would otherwise be deflationary. Increase the housing supply, eliminate mortgage and student loan interest subsidies for new debt, etc. Discourage new debt in general -- even tax loan interest on new debts. That allows the market to correct against historical bad policies without causing disastrous deflation.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Tsagadai on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:42PM (#13648406)
If I have a debt at an interest rate of 4% and inflation is 5% my debt is worth less every year relative to the value of other things. If I have a debt at an interest rate of 5% and inflation is 2.5% the value of the debt is increasing. This effect is increased if only interest is being paid and the asset the debt is for does not increase in value (like a car).

Add to this that wages are relatively stagnant for most people outside of tech since the 80s in some countries and you have a problem. It can get even worse where wages are kept stagnant by government intervention and inflation goes up faster than 5%.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by AnimalMuppet on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:34PM (#13648350)
Mortgages.

Now, you could argue that the expectation of future inflation is built into the mortgage interest rate at the time you obtain the mortgage. And you'd be correct. But once you have the mortgage, then inflation helps you. Or rather, it helps you when your wages rise in response to inflation.

Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by DaiPlusPlus on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:42PM (#13648404)
Unless you have a variable-rate mortgage, of course.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Spellman on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:57PM (#13648484)
Which is why people tout going fixed rate
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Consultant32452 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:38PM (#13648367)
Ignore Tucker Carlson, economist Mark Blyth got famous recently for being virtually the only economist who predicted Trump's win. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h-hV_XS8dH4
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by icebraining on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @07:38PM (#13648723)
Why point to Mark Blyth and not to Arthur Laffer?
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by DaiPlusPlus on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:41PM (#13648391)
Not necessarily - there can be inflation without worker's pay increases, and inflation leads to more costly credit - so someone in that situation is twice as worse-off as before.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by Consultant32452 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:42PM (#13648407)
Try telling that to the working public who basically hasn't gotten a raise in 30 years in spite of sky-rocketing productivity.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by ap3 on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @05:56PM (#13648083)
Why wouldn't more farmers just let their crops rot to make more money?
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by mcguire on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @06:49PM (#13648442)
Because unless last year was a good year, making no money this year means you will be out of business next year.
Re:Alabama immigration: crops rot as workers vanish to avoid... by jksmith on Tuesday February 14, 2017 @05:58PM (#13648095)
Because you have nothing to sell even if demand goes up. Does you no good.