Seems like it should at least be an amicable goal.
There's also the fact that the participation of women and minorities in OSS is smaller than their participation in the technology industry as a whole. Granted, not every OSS project touts itself as a meritocracy, but it's probably the area where the concept is championed most vociferously.
I think that can mostly be diversity hiring. A company can hire women/minorities to increase diversity. A FOSS project can't accept code on the premise of diversity. I think the narrow scope of most FOSS projects (or the individual components that contributors wind up specializing in) also makes most of the benefits of diversity less relevant. Diverse teams do better on diverse tasks.
(I don't think diversity hiring is a bad practice as long as the people hired are qualified for the job)
No good way to know by speculating.
So, much like with debates over communism, I think we end up with a major disconnect between people who focus on love for the ideal and people who focus on hate for the implementations they've seen.