Because there are still ripple effects to doing this affecting areas with edge cases.
So let's say you've reduced the number of manual-driven cars. That has implications for:
* Economies of scale. Autonomous cars will likely be of a different design than manual ones so the price of a manual-drive will likely increase- where will the increased money to buy them come from?
* Insurance costs. Drivers in less-dense cities are currently safer than the national average: what does the risk and cost for a safer driver become now that the bad urban driver benchmark disappears?
* Government regulation and other politicking. What happens to everyone else in, say, California or New York State or a European country if an urban-focused legislature creates laws restricting ownership/use of a manual-driven car in some way (anything from a tax to an outright ban)?
Whether these implications are small or large (or whether they cancel each other) isn't adequately answered right now; but I suspect that at least one (or all 3) will turn out to be a major hindrance to autonomous car deployment. Or they don't, and some section of the population gets screwed anyway.
I'm not sure how big of a threat that is. The design ought not need to be so different that the same production lines can't easily make both versions. Relative to many newer cars (anything drive-by-wire), autonomy probably only requires the addition of sensors and a computer. Even getting rid of the steering wheel and all driving controls could probably be done modularly on a car model that's offered in both self-driving and traditional options.
The people who continue to buy manually driven cars, I presume.
> Insurance costs. Drivers in less-dense cities are currently safer than the national average: what does the risk and cost for a safer driver become now that the bad urban driver benchmark disappears?
They will be benchmarked against more dangerous suburban drivers (e.g. Marylanders) instead.
I am not sure if an autonomous car will be safer. I mean, can they even do panic breaking right now (For example, if someone or something jumps in front of the car?). You know, safety is often not about having the fastest reaction time, but also about having good anticipation that any decent human driver will develop in a short time....
I think any hopes that cars will be better than humans at it is quite naive...
Even if we assume that cars won't be as good at stopping from people jumping in front of them, I would bet the number of accidents that happen from something like that are significantly smaller than the number of accidents from human error like texting while driving, being drunk, or just not paying attention due to fatigue or whatever else.
Not to mention, how can you really even tell the difference between someone who's walking towards your car but will stop and someone who isn't? Not even humans can do that since we can't read minds.
Pretty sure they can handle it if someone jumps in front of them simply because people play chicken with them.