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A comment on Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion?.

Re:Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion? by 0xcde4c3db on Thursday January 19, 2017 @12:57AM (#13433420)
It might not be the next bubble (rather next decade's bubble), and not as big as the mortgage securities bubble, but I have my eye on siloed social media in general and Facebook in particular.

I don't know exactly how or when the federated/web-of-trust alternative to Facebook will unfold, but people are definitely working on commoditizing this stuff, and doing so in an unassuming way that has the potential to catch major players by surprise when it finally crystallizes. I'm not convinced that any of XMPP, GNU Social/OStatus, diaspora*, or IRCv3 have all the pieces to solve the puzzle, but the direction they're pulling is not a big mystery, and I consider it a very real possibility that a successor to those efforts does to Facebook what HTML5 did to Flash.

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Re:Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion? by spronkey on Thursday January 19, 2017 @02:15AM (#13433776)
I'd be pretty happy if this were the case. Likewise, I'd be pretty happy if the same thing happened to instant messaging.
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Re:Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion? by antoniuschan99 on Thursday January 19, 2017 @10:09AM (#13436322)
It didn't happen with ICQ, AOL Messenger, and others. How do you think it will happen with the current generation of messengers?

Closest thing that federated the messengers was Ebuddy, but that was not protocol i think.

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Re:Ask HN: What is the next bubble in your opinion? by miguelrochefort on Thursday January 19, 2017 @05:51AM (#13434747)
Finally someone who understands. You're spot on.

Why aren't more people talking about this?

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