I've been reading breathless articles explaining that AGI is going to happen "real soon now" since the early 1980s - to a certain extent I actually believed this and this is what motivated me to get into AI research in the late 80s and early 1990s, which was pretty close to the point where "good old fashioned AI" was dying out.

My own view is that it's highly likely that we'll have something like AGI - but we might also find that it's not actually that useful, or really necessary, and anyway I suspect it will take a long time to get there (I'd guess 100-200 years).