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Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by misja111 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @10:42AM (#13176766)
I am much more shocked about the negative sentiment here at HN about any post that could be seen as criticism on the global warming theory.

Personally I believe that it is a good thing to be critical about everything thats written in the mainstream media. A lot of nonsense is being written and copied by everybody without any critical thinking. It's also happening when it comes to climate change. I'm not denying it, but I do think that there is a lot about its implications that we don't understand very well yet.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by Daishiman on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @10:51AM (#13176850)
> Personally I believe that it is a good thing to be critical about everything thats written in the mainstream media.

Are you critical about how to conduct effective medical trials in your everyday life? Are you critical about the best catalogue hierarchy for books in a public library? Are you critical of the driving techniques of truckers under snow conditions?

You can critique anything in life and there's a hell of a lot of things that are important for which we recognize that we have little knowledge in the domain and that our criticism is mere curiousity but has no relevance whatsoever.

For some reason only a narrow band of Americans think that their knowledge or their credentials on the subject allows them to challenge the topic critically or consider that the the scientific consensus on the matter is wrong.

It's a bullshit argument from bullshit skeptics. Critical thinking comes from having a minimum baseline knowledge of the subject. I have yet to meet a skeptic who does.

The actual, real skeptics are the peers of climate scientists who have domain knowledge and can ask about the modeling techniques in papers, what equations were utilized, what assumptions are taken and so on. Without that it's the same level of intellectual drudgery as anti-vaxxers.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by dwc on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:17PM (#13177636)
Years ago I had little opinion on climate change. During the big email scandal[1] I decided to look into it myself, as an outsider. I downloaded the leaked emails. I downloaded various data sets. I also followed online arguments between climate scientists and climate skeptics.

After trying to grok the mammoth amounts of data, I realized that it would take me forever just to come up to speed. I decided to focus on the arguments. What I found was that the climate scientists could answer every objection, and I could trace back to the data itself and validate what they were saying. The "skeptics" would either: repeat their claim without acknowledging the rebuttal, or would switch to arguing something else completely, or would not reply at all only to go somewhere else and repeat their rebutted claim(s) without modification. Being something of a skeptic myself (in an evidence-based way), I recognize this pattern of behavior. It's not skepticism; it's denial. It's a marketing campaign.

When you have a true skeptic of climate change look into it, you end up with the Koch-funded Richard Muller deciding that, yeah, it's real science done well and that climate change is real.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_E._Mann#CRU_email_cont...

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by misja111 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @11:13AM (#13177063)
Let me start with the disclaimer that I am not denying climate change, judging by some reactions that apparently wasn't clear enough.

Now to what you are saying. First of all, being critical of what the media writes about some scientific subject, is not the same as being critical of the scientist that did the research. Many times research is wrongly quoted or taken out of context.

Secondly, sometimes some research seems to contradict with other. For instance, as I mentioned already in another reply (and got already downvoted to -4 by now), while research clearly shows that the Arctic ice is melting, the Antarctic ice is growing. I find those seemingly contradicting facts interesting, they show that we apparently do not understand everything about the subjec t yet.

Science makes progress from new facts and experiments that can't be explained by the current theory. If people would refuse to see those facts, progress would never be made.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by burkaman on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @11:43AM (#13177326)
Who is the "we" in all your comments?

When you see an apparent contradiction like this, why do you stop there? Do you really think climatologists haven't considered this? Here's one theory: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034425716...

> As such, the behavior of Antarctic sea ice is not a paradox as some have suggested, but instead is consistent with the geophysical characteristics in the southern polar region that starkly contrast to those in the Arctic.

Of course we don't understand everything, we don't understand everything about any subject. When you see contradictory headlines, dig deeper. Don't stop and think "I knew it, these people don't know what they're doing".

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by Daishiman on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @11:19AM (#13177127)
> Secondly, sometimes some research seems to contradict with other. For instance, as I mentioned already in another reply (and got already downvoted to -4 by now), while research clearly shows that the Arctic ice is melting, the Antarctic ice is growing. I find those seemingly contradicting facts interesting, they show that we apparently do not understand everything about the subjec t yet.

No, it shows that you haven't been reading the minimum baseline material.

Antartic ice surface is spreading but the volume is decreasing dramatically. The surface spread is due to lower atmospheric temperatures given the transfer of energy from the atmosphere to the ice, leading to the melt in ice shelves that used to be stable.

There is no point of contention there and if you had actually done the research this should have come up easily.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by misja111 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @11:30AM (#13177221)
Well, it seems you haven't read the Nasa report that I was referring to. The increase that was measured was not in surface but in mass. Unless the density of the Antrarctic ice is increasing dramatically as well, that means volume is increasing, not decreasing.
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by mturmon on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:13PM (#13177599)
The press release you reference, and the paper it grew from, has been echo-ing around HN (and the cryosphere research community) for a while. Last time was two months ago; see: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12796646

Short summary: the study partly conflicts other results, and the mass loss seen in that study may be more due to the limitations of their measurement technique (radar altimetry) versus other techniques (gravity).

There's more at the link referenced above. (See also: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/20...)

Claimer: while not involved in ice mass quantification, I talk regularly with people who do it full time, publish regularly, are leads on space instruments to measure it, etc.

And, like other commenters nearby, I want to caution you on your approach to "skepticism" and "keeping an open mind".

You seem to be selecting one press release from the hundreds released every year, and using its partial conflict with other information to call the whole hypothesis (significant ice melting caused by global warming) into question. That's not a valid mode of inquiry - especially when you don't have the training and time to keep up with current work.

It's like walking into an IC fab and asking why they are not using EUV lithography (it was in this article in Wired!) when you didn't even take a semiconductor physics class in college.

The right place to start, if you really want to get informed, is the IPCC AR5 report (https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/). Reading press releases only makes sense if you can put it into context.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ocschwar on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:10PM (#13177552)
> I am much more shocked about the negative sentiment here at HN about any post that could be seen as criticism on the global warming theory.

The theory was first proposed in 1820, demonstrated in a lab in 1864, proposed with climate predictions 1894, and studied ever more intensely ever since.

It's about as old as the germ theory of disease.

So the same standard applies: if you attack the germ theory of disease or the global warming theory, you need to show some demand evidence, or else, put up with lots of negative sentiment vented by people who are justly angered that you asked for their attention and didn't show them enough respect to warrant their attention.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by burkaman on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @10:52AM (#13176861)
Ok, but do you accept that we understand enough of the implications to know that it will be very bad for humans?
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by JofArnold on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @10:59AM (#13176914)
When you are presented with uniform agreement of countless scientists, debating it is a waste of time. Seriously. I just can't understand how people still believe debating this makes any sense.
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by davexunit on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @11:10AM (#13177032)
Yeah, I think debating the issue gives legitimacy to the climate change deniers. People have largely stopped debating creationists for this same reason. I think a Venn diagram of creationists and climate change deniers would have quite a bit of overlap.
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by MrZongle2 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @11:51AM (#13177401)
"I am much more shocked about the negative sentiment here at HN about any post that could be seen as criticism on the global warming theory."

And by the looks of the responses your post received, your reaction is justified.

While its roots may be in science, the Climate Change movement has become a church unto itself. And one that does not treat potential Martin Luthers kindly.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by tobltobs on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:15PM (#13177618)
"the Climate Change movement has become a church unto itself. And one that does not treat potential Martin Luthers kindly."

Constructing climate change deniers as the new civil rights activists. What a fucked up logic.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:47PM (#13177964)
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by MrZongle2 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:33PM (#13177829)
Martin Luther. Not Martin Luther King, Jr.

Were to so eager to flame me that you couldn't be bothered to read my post properly?

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by tobltobs on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:41PM (#13177916)
I guess it doesn't make any difference with which Luther you compare climate change deniers, it is dumb anyway.
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by MrZongle2 on Friday December 16, 2016 @01:38PM (#13195554)
Thank you for providing such obvious evidence in support of my argument with your actions.

I had wondered if my post would have spawned a lengthy discussion in which I would have to properly assemble a series of arguments with supporting links as rebuttals. But to have my point so clearly illustrated right out of the gate...oh, what a gift!

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:48PM (#13177978)
>Were to so eager to flame me that you couldn't be bothered to read my post properly?

Yes, as well as reflexively downvote. Please enjoy the irony of what you wrote and the subsequent reaction.

(FWIW, I upvoted your comment)

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:00PM (#13177468)
Thought the same myself. More often than not, it all comes across like climate change is some vengeful god who we must sacrifice for and express an unshakable belief in.

Would love to see more pragmatism and less dogma. I think that would help.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by neaden on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:08PM (#13177535)
This is ridiculous. Saying that we have to stop putting so much CO2 in the air is not a vengeful god, it's just the facts. Wanting the sea levels to not rise and displace millions of people from their homes is pragmatism. You are the one who is putting ideology above facts.
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:40PM (#13177907)
What ideology am I putting above facts? Where did I say I wanted the sea level to rise?
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by neaden on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:50PM (#13178001)
Your stance that people trying to mitigate global warming are acting like "climate change is some vengeful god who we must sacrifice for and express an unshakable belief in." is ideology. Your denial of the scientific consensus is ideology. Your coming here to post in an expression of your ideology. It doesn't matter if you want the sea levels to rise or are just in denial of the facts and think they won't.
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:52PM (#13178020)
> It doesn't matter if you want the sea levels to rise or are just in denial of the facts and think they won't.

Then it doesn't matter what I write, or say, you can divine my true beliefs?

Sounds a little bit like...the clergy! :)

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by neaden on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:57PM (#13178073)
Of course it matters what you write, it's just your motivation for what you write isn't really relevant. I don't know if you are just some edgy guy hanging out trying to rile people up, some true believer who's sincerely thinks climate change is a hoax, or somewhere in between. The great thing about science is things are true or false on their own.

Also clergy don't think they can magically divine people's true beliefs unless you are talking about D&D, so you really need to work on your metaphors.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by tobltobs on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:09PM (#13177549)
There isn't any dogma yet to see. The only thing happening is pragmatism in the form "Let us see, maybe it will not be too bad."
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:39PM (#13177891)
I disagree. There are those that work on sustainable, inexpensive, and not environmentally damaging energy production. This kind of work is pragmatic, as it approaches the problem as one we can solve.

There are also those that seek to punctuate the discussion and create strawmen, like yourself - that's the dogma side :)

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by tobltobs on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:49PM (#13177987)
The scientific and technological approach to these problem is pragmatic, of course. In the most parts of the world dogmatic science was abolished after the middle age.

So I don't know what your comment actually tries to communicate, apart of this strawmen thing, which itself is a strawmen.

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by ra1n85 on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:56PM (#13178065)
>The only thing happening is pragmatism in the form "Let us see, maybe it will not be too bad."

>The scientific and technological approach to these problem is pragmatic

Which is it?

Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by tobltobs on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @01:39PM (#13178459)
I tried to explain that technological approaches are pragmatic anyway. However, a technological solution isn't in sight currently, therefore a political solution would be necessary to buy more time. And I can't currently see any dogmatic political actions anywhere. But as you seem to be convinced that "there is too much dogma" you surely could, couldn't you?
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by neaden on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @12:58PM (#13178086)
Who here or in the article is trying to stop discussion on sustainable energy? Or do you think that somehow talking about Arctic ice melting is somehow impeding energy research?
Re:Arctic Is Warming At 'Astonishing' Rates, Researchers Say by tobltobs on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @10:46AM (#13176802)
Stop hiding your lazy "I don't wanna change my lifestyle" character behind your "critical thinking" nonsense.