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Re:Neurogenesis Deep Learning by chriswarbo on Wednesday December 14, 2016 @05:52AM (#13175097)
There are a few sources at https://intelligence.org/all-publications/

Click on "FC Forecasting" near the top to limit the list to those about AI predictions, including:

- The Errors, Insights and Lessons of Famous AI Predictions - and What They Mean for the Future

- Predicting AGI: What Can We Say When We Know So Little?

- How We're Predicting AI - or Failing To

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