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Re:Does prospect theory explain Trump and Brexit votes? by nandemo on Monday November 21, 2016 @11:03PM (#13011520)
This has nothing to do with "liberal echo chamber". Most opinion polls indicated that Clinton would win, and most people believed so. That's all there is to it.

> That's about a 1% difference. I don't see how that translates to "surprised most of us"!

You can't use the result of the elections to claim that the result was "expected"!

The stock market expected a Clinton win, and so did betting markets outside the US:

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/07/betting-sites-see-record-wage...

Arguably, at some point even Trump indicated that he believed Clinton would win, when he claimed the elections were "rigged".

Re:Does prospect theory explain Trump and Brexit votes? by philovivero on Tuesday November 22, 2016 @12:10AM (#13011790)
You don't think maybe the elections really were rigged?

Here's a video where a computer programmer who worked on voting systems is questioned under oath, and he makes some pretty good arguments that elections are rigged. At least the ones where electronic voting machines are used.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YcxGGnmRQAs&t=92s

I'll admit, I didn't bother researching, but I'd understood a lot of electronic voting machines were used in the election we just underwent.

The results of the election only slightly surprised me, but I've gone to great lengths to avoid ingesting media from mainstream sources. Outside the mainstream, Trump's popularity was quite a bit more obvious.

Re:Does prospect theory explain Trump and Brexit votes? by nandemo on Tuesday November 22, 2016 @12:38AM (#13011885)
To be honest, I have no opinion on the rigging claim. I'm not a US citizen or resident and I don't know much about how y'all go about actually voting.

My point is that candidate B claimed the election would be rigged against him; it's not a stretch to assume he thought candidate A would probably win at that point.