Re:Dan Rather: Now, More Than Ever, We Must Stand Up for Sci...
by Retric on Monday November 14, 2016 @03:22PM
(#12952978)
Suppose someone said I am going to roll a fair six sided dice. So, 1,2,3,4,5,6.
I will give you a 50/50 bet. You can write down a number 1,2,3,4,5, or 6 and then chose if it will be that number or will be another number. AKA pick 2 and say it will be 2 or will not be 2.
Baring any evidence the first choice is random, but the second is that number or is not that number should not be random.
Logically faith is the same thing. It's picking a very specific result and saying baring any evidence I will pick a small set of outcomes and say this more likely true instead of not true.
Now, having evidence changes things. If you can show the dice is biased for 4, then picking not 6 is a better choice than not 4.
PS: Now if you believe picking is that number is a better option in my game, then I would be happy to play this game with you.
I will give you a 50/50 bet. You can write down a number 1,2,3,4,5, or 6 and then chose if it will be that number or will be another number. AKA pick 2 and say it will be 2 or will not be 2.
Baring any evidence the first choice is random, but the second is that number or is not that number should not be random.
Logically faith is the same thing. It's picking a very specific result and saying baring any evidence I will pick a small set of outcomes and say this more likely true instead of not true.
Now, having evidence changes things. If you can show the dice is biased for 4, then picking not 6 is a better choice than not 4.
PS: Now if you believe picking is that number is a better option in my game, then I would be happy to play this game with you.