And one response I have to that, developed from this conversation, is that this election is a turnout anomaly because the GOPe sabotaged the GOTV effort for Trump (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12932865 for a bit more on that).

And are you really sure about that? The AP, the "definitive" source I've been following through Google (https://www.google.com/search?q=election+results+2016+usa#eo...), says California reporting is 100%, and the nationwide margin is still about the same as it's been for some time, medium 6 figures.

~3 million absentee ballots are estimated to be outstanding.

http://www.scpr.org/news/2016/11/09/66046/california-la-coun...

Maybe that's a high estimate, I don't know. We'll know in a few weeks in any case.

Am I sure the demographic trend towards cities will continue? Yeah, I'm pretty sure. They may not continue to vote the way they do now, but they are going to decide presidential elections.

Yow. And that article, with a wild guess for the figure, is 2 days old. Just did a search, and the LA Times says the official figure is now 4,362,087 and may change (http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essentia...)