The forces that drove this election’s media failure are likely to get worse

Re:The forces that drove this election’s media failure are l... by ubernostrum on Friday November 11, 2016 @03:00AM (#12928830)

So if this poll said Trump was "8 points ahead", where did it say he was "8 points ahead"? A generic statement of "8 points ahead" is, when hearing about a poll with zero other context read to mean "8 points ahead in a national poll of likely voters with a representative sample", which is a national popular vote measure of limited utility in predicting electoral outcome.

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Re:The forces that drove this election’s media failure are l... by mrlatinos on Friday November 11, 2016 @03:22AM (#12928914)

He was 8 points ahead in a national poll of likely voters with a representative sample when asked who they would be more likely to vote for. I don't have specifics besides the 8 pt. lead because I'm not on the analysis side of things and the results weren't published. And I agree, phone polling is fairly limited as far as outcome prediction goes. Part of the reason they didn't publish is because they thought it was a fluke.

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Re:The forces that drove this election’s media failure are l... by ubernostrum on Friday November 11, 2016 @05:13PM (#12934967)

So, did he end up with an 8-percentage-point national popular-vote lead? If not, seems the poll was inaccurate.

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Re:The forces that drove this election’s media failure are l... by mrlatinos on Friday November 11, 2016 @10:19PM (#12936417)

My original comment wasn't to prove the accuracy of the polling, rather, to show the bias of the media when reporting poll results. While the poll may have been innacurate,so were many of the polls that put Clinton ahead that they decided to publish.

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