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A comment on The Facebook bubble just popped. Parent comment

Re:The Facebook bubble just popped by basseq on Thursday November 10, 2016 @01:48PM (#12923043) 

  They were better than the other major forecasts, 
  insofar as they gave Trump the highest chance of 
  winning.
You might be interested in the LA Times / USC Daybreak poll, which projected a Trump win for some time. (And similarly, "caused dismay — even outrage — among some readers, especially Democrats, who have denounced it and often criticized The Times for running it".)

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-latimes-poll-2...

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Re:The Facebook bubble just popped by mylesm on Thursday November 10, 2016 @02:22PM (#12923360)
Nate Silver actually wrote a post about the LA Times poll. I don't think it makes sense to compare individual polls with poll aggregates. A single data point being accurate/inaccurate can be due more to luck than methodology, while an inaccuracy in a probabilistic model like Silver's indicates more of a systemic bias across all polls.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-leave-th...

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