Re:Live Presidential Forecast
by protomyth on Tuesday November 08, 2016 @11:04PM
(#12905962)
I leave work and I see Clinton is the probable winner. I drive home, get some dinner, and I get a text from the WSJ that stock futures are crashing because Trump might win?!? What the friggin hell pollsters? I get the feeling some explaining on the part of the newspapers and new networks is in order.
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Re:Live Presidential Forecast
by tedunangst on Tuesday November 08, 2016 @11:25PM
(#12906031)
Well, the reason we still have the election instead of just polling people is because the polls aren't always accurate.
Polls don't tell you who will vote.
60% of a state may be for one candidate, but if only 80% of them go out to vote, the other candidate will win.
That's what we're seeing here today.
Re:Live Presidential Forecast
by tedunangst on Wednesday November 09, 2016 @02:58PM
(#12914034)
80% turnout. Hahaha.
Fair, that would be way too high. I was really meaning to reference relative turnout for each candidate. That is, which party or candidate is better at actually getting their voters to do their job and vote.