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A comment on Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump. Parent comment

Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by threeseed on Sunday October 16, 2016 @01:04AM (#12717059)
That doesn't make much sense. Super Tuesday primaries included all likely Republican voters. But Trump only has the support of about 40% of them and nothing he has done to date indicates that number is changing.

And there is no evidence that electoral fraud is likely to decide the election. In fact it's looking like efforts to prevent it e.g. in Indiana are far more likely to influence the election.

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Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by Tsugumo on Sunday October 16, 2016 @01:45AM (#12717165)
The record-breaking Republican turnout was due to Trump, and I think it is reasonable to believe that the vast majority of Republicans will vote Trump over Hillary, or 3rd party. At the same time, many independents and Bernie supporters will vote Trump as well. In my mind, Trump is the Republican Obama, and will benefit from many first-time voters, and a large turnout in general. It does not seem to me that Hillary has the same draw. I don't mean to argue with you, only to clarify.
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[dead]
Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by sctb on Sunday October 16, 2016 @01:00PM (#12719577)
We've banned this account for repeatedly violating the guidelines.
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Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by threeseed on Sunday October 16, 2016 @01:52AM (#12717184)
You're confused again. Trump had record breaking PRIMARY turnout. All polls taken so far have him only getting about 40% of Republicans. And there is no evidence what so ever that he is drawing in independents or Bernie supporters at any significant rate.

He is down by on average 7 points nationally for a reason.

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Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by rconti on Sunday October 16, 2016 @03:08AM (#12717417)
Correction: 75% of Republicans, 40% overall. He seems to have a fairly hard ceiling. His support among Republicans is shockingly low, but likely to rebound a bit to keep it from being a total blowout.
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Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by savagej on Sunday October 16, 2016 @03:08AM (#12717418)
You're off by 2X. Well over 80% of GOP is voting Trump.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/for-many-gop-women-party...

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Re:Peter Thiel to Donate $1.25M in Support of Donald Trump by gallonofmilk on Sunday October 16, 2016 @03:16AM (#12717444)
where are you getting 40%? last I heard 87% of republicans are backing Trump (regardless of the elitists jumping ship)
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