Re:American Ice Trade
by exit on Wednesday April 14, 2010 @02:21PM
(#1265658)
Do you think Tudor knew he had a good idea - or did he just believe it?
There are countless businessmen with the qualities you pick out - "amazing will and fight". Most of them end up in ruin. They all at least believed they had a good idea.
If Tudor isn't different in that he knew (in the epistemic sense of a justified true belief) he had a good idea, then we also have to acknowledge that he was damn lucky. We have to acknowledge the extent to which entrepreneurs are playing out a process of trial and error.
There are countless businessmen with the qualities you pick out - "amazing will and fight". Most of them end up in ruin. They all at least believed they had a good idea.
If Tudor isn't different in that he knew (in the epistemic sense of a justified true belief) he had a good idea, then we also have to acknowledge that he was damn lucky. We have to acknowledge the extent to which entrepreneurs are playing out a process of trial and error.