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Re:The Tuesday Birthday Problem by bumbledraven on Tuesday April 06, 2010 @04:59PM (#1245630)
For further discussion by Stanford's Keith Devlin, see http://www.maa.org/devlin/devlin_04_10.html

Author John Allen Paulos nicely clarifies the intuition behind the solution here: http://twitter.com/JohnAllenPaulos/status/11699672607

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