Not so sure about that - the war was mostly Russia and Iran backing Assad against Turkey and the US backing the anti Assad rebels. Now Assad and Erdogan are buddies things may settle down with Assad, Putin and Erdogan all being presidents for life with questionable elections and the US not able to do a lot about it.
Re:How the Arab World Came Apart
by dragonwriter on Thursday August 11, 2016 @10:50AM
(#12268654)
> Not so sure about that - the war was mostly Russia and Iran backing Assad against Turkey and the US backing the anti Assad rebels.
The series of wars in Turkey, Syria, and Iraq involve a lot more than that, and a Turkey-Syria-Russia alignment doesn't remove the basis for them (though it might reduce the level of violence in Syria while increasing it in Iraq, particularly Iraqi Kurdistan (and even moreso ex-Iraqi Kurdistan if the movement of that region to secede from Iraq progresses.)
Erdogan has been one of the biggest backer of anti-Assad forces in Syria, and it is unclear why that will change.
Erdogan and Assad are hardly buddies, even after the attempted coup.
Re:How the Arab World Came Apart
by pdabbadabba on Thursday August 11, 2016 @10:24AM
(#12268441)
So your position is that if the U.S. would just butt out, ISIS and other anti-Assad rebels would just pack it up and go home? That seems unlikely.
No, that Assad and Russia would defeat them militarily.
Re:How the Arab World Came Apart
by pdabbadabba on Thursday August 11, 2016 @11:40AM
(#12269109)
Maybe eventually. But that would require more war, would it not? My point was not that the war in Syria will never end, but that Syria will remain in a state of civil war for some time to come whether or not Hillary goes after Assad.
So the decision is not between war and peace in Syria. It is between one war and another. The alternative you describe might be shorter (or it might not be, depending on how Hillary would execute her plan to go after Assad, among numerous other factors), but it may also be worse in many other respects.
In the meantime, we have this: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/08/02/toxic-gas-in-the-...