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A comment on A Tragic Loss. Parent comment

Re:A Tragic Loss by jfrisby on Saturday July 02, 2016 @06:26PM (#12023993)
Except that the retrospective IS predictive.
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Re:A Tragic Loss by jsprogrammer on Saturday July 02, 2016 @06:48PM (#12024059)
What evidence supports that position?

Crashes are anaomolus events that happen for very specific reasons. Reasons that do not have any seeming connection to any other crash. I don't see how a retrospective could predict anything about the success of future flights.

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Re:A Tragic Loss by jfrisby on Monday July 04, 2016 @12:59AM (#12028955)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failure_rate
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