But I'd suggest putting a bunch of scientists in a room for a while to figure out the environmental impact and define some acceptable limit of yearly pollution. Then raise taxes until we're under the limit. Or something similar.
Of course, then you have a de facto regulatory body, which everyone hates, and thus a new problem.
Airlines have been very successful at getting special treatment by scaremongering "no more connections for you". Which is certainly a mostly empty threat, because connections will only go down by as much as demand elasticity reacts to the price difference.
In theory you set the tax rate to counteract the net negative externalities. It's estimating those externalities that's the source of contention (as you hint at re: feedback loops). So assign ten teams to estimate it and take the median?
We are afraid of possible feedback loops destabilizing ice sheets much earlier than predicted? Maybe the price should be 5x what it current is?
If emitting CO2 causes unknown massive harm, then it seems sane to figure out a CO2 neutral method to create these liquid fuels that jets require. That would seem very expensive, with current technology.