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Re:Show HN: Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference by lormayna on Thursday June 09, 2016 @05:43PM (#11872621)
Did you take care about home advantage? I would be very happy to know more about math of your model
Re:Show HN: Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference by vicow on Friday June 10, 2016 @04:46AM (#11875089)
We did, it helps quite a lot! Concerning the model, we use Gaussian process classification with a logit link function, a linear kernel and Expectation Propagation as inference method.