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Re:Show HN: Euro 2016 predictions using Bayesian inference by rainforest on Thursday June 09, 2016 @09:56AM (#11869376)
Is there a reason you opted to use Elo rather than other rating systems commonly used in baseball analysis like log5 or Pythagorean (e.g. https://summerofjeff.wordpress.com/2010/12/05/serving-agains...)?

I'd also be interested in knowing a bit more about point 2 as well.

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