News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Skin in the Game – chapter drafts by Nassim Taleb by ricksplat on Thursday May 19, 2016 @09:57AM (#11730186)
Aren't rules of thumb in his case the outcome of inductive reasoning based on many observations? Sounds pretty empirical to me. It is a fundamental strength of science that such formulations accept falsifiability - so the fact that his hypotheses/theories/laws don't hold in all cases just means they need to be refined for those cases.

It also common scientific practice to accept hypotheses within bounds of probability.

Re:Skin in the Game – chapter drafts by Nassim Taleb by VodkaHaze on Thursday May 19, 2016 @10:05AM (#11730260)
The wildest conspiracy theories you've heard are also "the outcome of inductive reasoning based on many observations". Empirical testing is supposed to be statistical, not subject to human bias.
Re:Skin in the Game – chapter drafts by Nassim Taleb by ricksplat on Thursday May 19, 2016 @10:38AM (#11730538)
Well no, because they are neither falsifiable nor independently verifiable. Taleb proposes hypotheses based on openly available information and he provides enough information to replicate his findings.