Re:Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3...
by swyman on Thursday May 19, 2016 @04:20AM
(#11728771)
Difference in company maturity, same reason startups get valued at higher multiples than public companies. Everyone knows what Ford is and for the most part doesn't think they have much of a shot to make enough significant changes to, say, 100x their revenue within 5 years. Tesla, on the other hand, has about as good of a shot at doing that as any public company, so to some investors its worth pricing that growth opportunity in.
Re:Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3...
by forgetsusername on Thursday May 19, 2016 @07:27AM
(#11729367)
>Everyone knows what Ford is and for the most part doesn't think they have much of a shot to make enough significant changes to, say, 100x their revenue within 5 years
You'd have to be insane to believe that Tesla is going to be making $400BB within 5 years.
Yes, there's some fudge factor when trying to estimate what a company like Tesla might look like in the future, but it still should be based on potential financials.
Re:Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3...
by swyman on Wednesday May 25, 2016 @03:15PM
(#11772324)
"Should" is a personal normative statement. The very nature of the market is that my "should" is different from your "should", which is also different from everyone else's. You are free to disagree with anyone and everyone, but the price is the price is the price, defined only by the prevailing "should"s of the last two people who came close enough to agreeing on the current price to actually make a transaction. In fact, the only reason that transaction went through is because those two "should"s fundamentally disagreed on the future price, or they wouldn't have taken opposite sides on that transaction.
Re:Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3...
by gutnor on Thursday May 19, 2016 @04:53AM
(#11728890)
> How is that undervalued?
If you believe that electric and autonomous car is the future and that Tesla will dominate the electric and autonomous car market, especially starting in 2020 already selling 1 million car a year with 2 new even more affordable models ?
Not saying that is realistic, but if you are buying the stock of the global number 1 car maker of 2030, that is probably a good deal.
So Tesla:Ford ratio on market cap is 1:2, but on sales numbers it's 1:100. Granted, the Model S is more expensive than an average Ford, so let's call it 1:50.
How is that undervalued? It looks pretty darned overvalued to me.