News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Our Brain Uses Statistics to Calculate Confidence, Make D... by powera on Thursday May 05, 2016 @01:47AM (#11634221)
You are assuming that rational decision making can't lead to mass-slaughtering cattle.

Also you're assuming that everyone has accurate evidence about the impact of weather rituals. In a society without written records, how is that supposed to magically happen?

Re:Our Brain Uses Statistics to Calculate Confidence, Make D... by mannykannot on Thursday May 05, 2016 @07:58AM (#11635303)
At most, he is assuming that there is no rational explanation in this particular case of mass slaughter. FWIW, I am going to assign that a high confidence score until I see actual evidence to the contrary.

Saying "maybe there's an explanation" for every case does not advance the discussion. Saying "maybe there's an explanation" for every datum that does not fit your prior assumptions pretty much rules out statistical thinking, even if you otherwise have the capability.