Re:PredictIt: How It Works
by ctlaltdefeat on Saturday April 16, 2016 @09:51AM
(#11510588)
Why aren't decimal odds used, a-la the established betting exchanges? The system is equivalent without having to dedicate pages to explain confusing terminology.
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Re:PredictIt: How It Works
by lazzlazzlazz on Tuesday April 19, 2016 @06:03PM
(#11530848)
I think this system is much easier to understand from the beginning. I required essentially no explanations: interpreting probabilities as some number between 0 and 1 seems more intuitive than betting odds and lines, which I still don't quite grasp.
Agreed. This system of floating prices can also be easier to understand when studying depth-of-order-books, or moving in-and-out of positions before an event resolves. Those are essential for peer-to-peer prediction markets, but often not offered by pure betting services.
(As an assist to people familiar to other systems, PredictIt could offer a display of effective-odds as an option.)