News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by jonknee on Wednesday April 13, 2016 @02:25PM (#11490851)
It's just a matter of time before huge writedowns in the valuation happen. And Elizabeth Holmes won't be described as a billionaire for much longer (which unless I have missed something is almost all on paper).

Without a drastic plot twist it appears this company is little more than vaporware. At least the investors that will lose their money are people who should have all known better (and can afford the loss!), back in the dot com boom this thing would have been held by mom and pop.

Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by chimeracoder on Wednesday April 13, 2016 @03:29PM (#11491412)
> And Elizabeth Holmes won't be described as a billionaire for much longer (which unless I have missed something is almost all on paper)

Almost anytime a startup gets to a valuation that high, the founders have had an opportunity to take some money off the table. VCs like this, because it keeps the founders' incentives aligned with the investors' (they are more likely to take risks and swing for the fences if they don't have to worry as much about their own personal net worth).

It's dangerous if the founder divests entirely, but you want them to have enough that they aren't too worried about the risk of the company collapsing to make bold decisions when necessary.

That said, I don't know Theranos's cap table, but it's probably unlikely that her current stake in Theranos is worth $1B on paper even today - did she really manage to achieve a $9B valuation while holding onto 11% of her company?

Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by Animats on Wednesday April 13, 2016 @03:46PM (#11491557)
Expect investor lawsuits against her personally. This goes way beyond business failure. It's unusual for a regulatory agency to bar the CEO from an industry, unless they're a crook.
Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by lawnchair_larry on Wednesday April 13, 2016 @07:12PM (#11493119)
Her current stake is irrelevant. She sure won't be selling it. It's only a question of what was already cashed out.
Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by txttran on Wednesday April 13, 2016 @03:37PM (#11491480)
It says in the article that she has >50% equity.
Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by no_wave on Thursday April 14, 2016 @10:47AM (#11497138)
I'm going to guess that these big name investors have liquidation preferences of at least 2x, meaning that her stake will probably be worth nothing once this all blows up even if the company maintains any value (and it probably won't anyways)
Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by coderjames on Wednesday April 13, 2016 @06:08PM (#11492716)
> back in the dot com boom this thing would have been held by mom and pop.

Who also should have known better. If someone doesn't understand how a company they invest in makes a profit, or what the risks to that company are, they have no business investing in it. For example, I hold agency-MBS REITs in my portfolio, but only because I'm willing to read the quarterly filings and keep an eye on news relevant to interest rates. They are absolutely not an investment I would recommend to most people who want something simple they can "set and forget."

Re:Regulators Propose Banning Theranos Founder from Blood Te... by mortona on Thursday April 14, 2016 @05:03AM (#11495186)
No. Retail investors don't have the opportunity to scrutinize the company's records beyond what is publicly availbale, to take up references, or to meet with the management team. The VCs and funds investing in late-stage private companies do have these options. They can do as much, or as little, due-diligence as they like. And not just because they can demand things as a condition of the investment, but because it's perfectly reasonable to spend $50,000 on a couple of expert technical opinions when you're investing $1m+ but unfeasible if you're putting in $30k of life savings.