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Re:The Problem with Electric Vehicles by NLips on Monday April 04, 2016 @12:38PM (#11423232)
"77% of the light vehicles are likely exactly that 77% that is used rarely"

I won't use the word 'extraordinary', but that's at least a strong claim, so needs strong evidence to back it. Why wouldn't 77% of vehicles mean 77% of the load?

Re:The Problem with Electric Vehicles by jacquesm on Monday April 04, 2016 @12:48PM (#11423319)
I don't think that it is that strong a claim at all, not all vehicles are used to the same degree by their owners, every second hand car website can tell you that.

Cars that are 5 years old can have anywhere from 20K to 300K km on them. It all depends on the usage.

Lots of good data here:

http://www.solarjourneyusa.com/EVdistanceAnalysis7.php

People using their cars for 50K to 70K km per year are not exceptional (professional use), private individuals using their cars for < 5K km per year are not exceptional either.

Re:The Problem with Electric Vehicles by NLips on Monday April 04, 2016 @02:16PM (#11424030)
You didn't claim 'not all vehicles are used to the same degree by their owners'. You claimed that if a report says 77+% of cars could be electric using the current grid, it probably means the least-used 77%. That's the strong claim.
Re:The Problem with Electric Vehicles by jacquesm on Monday April 04, 2016 @02:42PM (#11424262)
It's the claim that makes most sense. You'd take the least used vehicles because their usage patterns will match current production EV sweet spots best (always assuming we are talking 100% electric and not hybrids).