Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ...
by JDDunn9 on Monday April 04, 2016 @10:10AM
(#11421958)
The market cap already reflects the value of all future earnings discounted to the present. The timing of dividend payments is irrelevant.
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Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ...
by mcgoo on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:31PM
(#11424708)
The future earnings have huge uncertainty to them. A company with a $50 stock price might have $5 per share worth of cash in the bank, (which is something you can actually observe.) The other $45 represents expected future earnings. If the stock pays out a 50c dividend, the stock now has $4.50 per share in the bank and the $45 expected future value is unchanged.
Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ...
by tomp on Monday April 04, 2016 @10:21AM
(#11422047)
Either you're stupid, or there's a misunderstanding. Probably the latter. Let me try again. Assume that δ is the discount factor (δ = 1 / (1 + r)), P is price, and D_i is the dividend in year i.
Before dividend:
P = D_0 + δ D_1 + δ^2 D_2 + δ^3 D_3 + ...
After dividend: P = δ D_1 + δ^2 D_2 + δ^3 D_3 + ...
Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ...
by JDDunn9 on Monday April 04, 2016 @01:05PM
(#11423477)
When calculating the value of an annuity, all that matters is your number of periods, the amount, and your discount rate. This is why an annuity appreciation chart over time is continuous.