News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ... by spectrum1234 on Monday April 04, 2016 @02:47AM (#11419840)
But none of this explains the main reason they would do this (a buyback or a dividend) instead of reinvest the profits. Yes the have lots of cash, but they have for awhile.

So the interesting question is why are they doing this now given the medium/long term ROI a company with cash looks generate. It could mean they stopped seeing obvious medium/long term investments. Maybe a small bubble is 5-10 years away.

Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ... by iofj on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:29AM (#11420035)
To see the answer to your specific question you need to look and compare these graphs:

1) https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_eps (note: slowly rising, if you ignore seasonality)

2) https://ycharts.com/indicators/reports/sp_500_earnings (note: dropping fast)

TLDR earnings are going down, but earnings/shares are going up. So what is going on ? Earnings for the US economy as a whole are dropping (pretty fast even). But the metric investors use to value shares, earnings per share is going up.

That means U.S. companies are buying back shares at a faster rate than their earnings are dropping. Why ? Exactly to generate this outcome : normal valuation metrics for shares (net-present-value of future earnings per share) go up as a result of this operation. When cutting a million corners the share price of any (large cap) stock should be roughly NPV(8%, future_cashflow).

The next question to ask is ... given that this uses a LOT of debt that is currently at very low interest rates, what happens if interest payments inevitably go up (either as a result of inflation, or of the FED raising rates) ? The problem with low interest rates is that, at the moment, 1% rate rise would quadruple interest payments for the government, and double interest payments for AA corporations.

Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ... by hedonistbot on Monday April 04, 2016 @04:48AM (#11420299)
I might be wrong here but aren't most US companies flush with cash these days? I would assume that they use their cash reserves for the buybacks and not debt. Are there any stats on what is used to finance the buybacks?
Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ... by HappyTypist on Monday April 04, 2016 @05:25AM (#11420421)
Most US companies have cash overseas and have never bought them back to the US because doing so will incur a third gone in taxes. Thus they are lending the cash to the US entity to execute but backs, hoping that a tax holiday is declared in the future.
Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ... by jgalt212 on Monday April 04, 2016 @08:16AM (#11421242)
> they are lending the cash to the US entity to execute but backs

I'm pretty sure they don't do this as a loan from the untaxed or under-taxed overseas entity back to the taxed parent would create a tax event.

AAPL has more cash than it knows what to do with, but it's a huge borrower in the corporate market so that it can fund its dividend payments.

Re:Buybacks at $46B a Month Dwarf Everything in U.S. Market ... by cperciva on Monday April 04, 2016 @03:09AM (#11419942)
It's trivially true that not all companies can provide ROI surpassing the market average. The more interesting question to me is why they ever stopped.