Re:America's Jobless Future?
by timr on Monday February 15, 2010 @04:23PM
(#1127543)
I fear that this argument is too sci-fi to be taken seriously by the overly literal personalities that tend to dominate HN, so let's make it clear: he's not actually saying that "robot scientists" are going to take over. Brain is performing a reductio ad absurdum -- he's taking the other side's argument to the extreme to demonstrate the
fundamental logical fallacies involved.
We don't need to wait for robot scientists to see the consequences of automation -- it's happening right now. Smaller numbers of skilled laborers are replacing larger numbers of unskilled laborers. To make the argumentative leap that this is a sustainable process, you have to prove that somehow, we will dramatically reduce the number of people who depend on unskilled labor to to make a living. I have yet to see a convincing proof that this is occurring. At best, we seem to keep shifting the kind of unskilled labor that we need, and paying less for it.
We don't need to wait for robot scientists to see the consequences of automation -- it's happening right now. Smaller numbers of skilled laborers are replacing larger numbers of unskilled laborers. To make the argumentative leap that this is a sustainable process, you have to prove that somehow, we will dramatically reduce the number of people who depend on unskilled labor to to make a living. I have yet to see a convincing proof that this is occurring. At best, we seem to keep shifting the kind of unskilled labor that we need, and paying less for it.