Re:AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]
by tunichtgut on Saturday March 12, 2016 @07:29AM
(#11272585)
I think this is a good guess. 280 GPUs in a single Desktop. It will take at least 10 years.
Perhaps longer given the restrictions (and huge problems) in further down scaling of the known silicon technology. GPUs are now at 28nm and the newest Intel CPUs on 14nm.
NVIDIA is projecting 5-10x gains in Deep Learning performance out of their next generation hardware (Pascal) [1]. Might be sooner than you think.
[1] http://techreport.com/news/27978/nvidia-pascal-to-feature-mi...
The current answer is, still a long way off. With massive forecasts in GPU power over the next few years it may be reasonable for people to have desktops in their home with this kind of power possibly within a decade. I won't even give a timeline for phones because of the power requirements.