How Long Before Superintelligence? (1997)

Re:How Long Before Superintelligence? (1997) by ufmace on Friday February 05, 2016 @05:22PM (#11045095)

I'm not sure how seriously we should take Moore's Law when it comes to these things. It applies pretty well so far to the development of silicon-based microprocessors, but at some point, we're going to come up against some hard physical limits on those. Once that happens, we may be stuck until we can come up with something fundamentally new.

We already seem to be up against some limits in a way as far as single-threaded processing power - it doesn't seem to be going up all that fast in the last few major cycles of processor development.

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Re:How Long Before Superintelligence? (1997) by danieltillett on Friday February 05, 2016 @10:55PM (#11046487)

This is why I said generalised Moore's law, not Moore's law. We are pretty much at the limit of current designs, but there is still plenty of room for parallelising computation.

I do agree we are going to need something new to get to human level.

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