Re:Oil Crash is Kicking Off One of the Largest Wealth Transf...
by dragonwriter on Tuesday February 02, 2016 @03:55PM
(#11022494)
> Yeah, but those without are going to be continents away from those 'with'.
No, they aren't. The US will be one of the losers, Canada one of the winners (again, ignoring effects of variability, etc.) And lots of the relative winning/losing pairs are going to be immediate neighbors.
> Not really in a position to fight, especially as they're starving.
There'll be a whole long period where the losses will be to established economic position rather than mass starvation. Its not going to be "breadbasket today, wasteland tomorrow". There'll be a long period where declining economic position, rising food prices, and less food security (and similar effects with water in place of food) will be evident and starvation visible down the road before mass starvation -- and its in that period that there will be strong pressures on governments to reverse that position by any means at their disposal.
No, they aren't. The US will be one of the losers, Canada one of the winners (again, ignoring effects of variability, etc.) And lots of the relative winning/losing pairs are going to be immediate neighbors.
> Not really in a position to fight, especially as they're starving.
There'll be a whole long period where the losses will be to established economic position rather than mass starvation. Its not going to be "breadbasket today, wasteland tomorrow". There'll be a long period where declining economic position, rising food prices, and less food security (and similar effects with water in place of food) will be evident and starvation visible down the road before mass starvation -- and its in that period that there will be strong pressures on governments to reverse that position by any means at their disposal.