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Re:The Scariest, Most Boring Armageddon by ChuckMcM on Sunday January 31, 2016 @11:49AM (#11006924)
And then again, we could develop a benevolent AI which is able to design a practical fusion reactor solution which gives the human race essentially unlimited power resources to apply toward cleaning up the planet.

Why is that so much harder to consider than the bad scenarios? I suppose evolutionarily the optimistic people probably didn't reproduce as often as the pessimistic people did but still.

Re:The Scariest, Most Boring Armageddon by obi1one on Sunday January 31, 2016 @12:01PM (#11006972)
I don't think a benevolent AI is impossible, or even unlikely, but I do think that as soon as the benevolent AI exists, there are a lot of people who will work very hard to find a way to exploit the tech for military purposes. So to me, the bad scenarios are essentially inevitable, even if the good scenario comes about.

That doesn't mean that the bad scenarios are as bad as people make out, but whether the AI is itself seeking to destroy humanity or just being used by militaristic people to plan simultaneous preemptive wars against everyone they see as a threat, the technology looks very dangerous to me. We will try to build it, that is just the human way, but like with the creation of other dangerous tech, we should be thinking about the dangers and how we will cope with them.

Re:The Scariest, Most Boring Armageddon by fweespeech on Sunday January 31, 2016 @12:12PM (#11007003)
The idea that a hostile Super-AI will take over and/or be a Doomsday scenarios is equally plausible the reverse will be equally irreversible.

A benevolent AI would immediately prioritize:

A) Eliminating hostile AI research

B) Advancing the good of humanity on the metrics it was given.

Re:The Scariest, Most Boring Armageddon by atroyn on Sunday January 31, 2016 @11:51AM (#11006934)
The problem there is, such a benevolent AI us not a robust technology. If we are thrown back into the pre-industrial era, there's a good chance that the AI would stop functioning.

Make no mistake, I'm optimistic about technology in general, I just want to observe that this is a unique moment in history an we should treat it as anything but inevitable that we'll make it.

Re:The Scariest, Most Boring Armageddon by ChuckMcM on Sunday January 31, 2016 @01:04PM (#11007218)
As I read the author's point it was that some set of events would materialize that pull us back into the stone age (the air tight box) which denies the possibility that something we're already doing has already counteracted that. There are no fewer than 6 reasonably well funded fusion research programs which have some possibility of producing massive amounts of easily consumed energy while eliminating large parts of the negative spiral (say carbon emissions), not to mention that with sufficiently inexpensive energy you can pull carbon out of the air and turn it into what every hydro carbon you want.

The world has seen doomsday predictions forever, and while there is always the possibility we'll kill ourselves off, one has to recognize that there is also the possibility that we won't. Good and bad things seem to happen in about equal measure when you look at it on a larger time scale.

Doomsday thinking is counter productive to getting stuff done anyway as it tends to sap people energy (why invest time in what you're doing if you're all going to die anyway? sorts of reasoning).

Re:The Scariest, Most Boring Armageddon by dclowd9901 on Sunday January 31, 2016 @11:03PM (#11009685)
It'd be cool if the first version of an AI was an air gapped "forever" computer that ran on nuclear power and very elementary components.