Re:Chinese Markets Halted, Equities Plunge Another 7%
by doyoulikeworms on Thursday January 07, 2016 @09:18PM
(#10862468)
Unless that flower was purchased with two cats (or two bulbs), I don't see how this strengthens the analogy.
That said, I do agree that GDP and market cap can't be compared in a meaningful way.
It's like saying that the ISS is about the size of a football field. Does this comparison help you to visualize the size of the ISS? Sure. Does this comparison help you to understand anything else about the ISS or football fields? No.
Suppose the government made a law saying that you cannot never sell KO (Coca-Cola stock). Today KO is selling for $41.62/sh. Tomorrow, is it worthless? No. It pays a 3.05% dividend, which it typically increases 10% a year. It is worth at least $1.27 (the first year's dividend).
Now to the question about cats selling for $500k. Would a sensible taxing authority or professional auditing firm assess a flower at $500k - $1 million? In 1637 a single Viceroy tulip bulb sold for 3000 - 4500 florins; a skilled craftsman made 300 florins/yr [1]. Assuming that a skilled craftsman would make at least $50k/yr (probably more, given that $50k is near the median US income), one tulip bulb cost $500k - $1 million. Not so different from selling cats for $500k, so you cannot attack the example for unreasonable prices (s/(dog|cat)/tulip bulb/). Now, was it worth that price? No, hence why it fell back to a much more reasonable level shortly afterwards. But during the mania, selling one tulip in exchange for two lesser-valued tulips would be quite valid.
You missed the point of the illustration, which was that price (market cap) has no relationship with value. Admittedly, the illustration was rather opaque.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania