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A comment on The Myth of AI – Jaron Lanier. Parent comment

Re:The Myth of AI – Jaron Lanier by marcosdumay on Wednesday January 06, 2016 @04:52PM (#10854099)
People always overestimate technological progress at the short time, and underestimate it at the long time. (Somebody else said that, don't remember who.)

On what time-frame are you make those claims?

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Re:The Myth of AI – Jaron Lanier by djhn on Wednesday January 06, 2016 @06:05PM (#10854628)
Applies to human behaviour as well - we overestimate how much we will achieve or change in the short run, and underestimate the same in the long run.
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