Re:The Fed’s imminent interest-rate decision – Is America re...
by jblow on Friday December 11, 2015 @07:59PM
(#10721249)
S&P is measured in nominal dollars, so of course it is near its all-time high. It should almost always be at its all-time high just because of inflation. So this doesn't tell you much.
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Re:The Fed’s imminent interest-rate decision – Is America re...
by tedsanders on Saturday December 12, 2015 @03:53AM
(#10722213)
Sure, ok. But even adjusting the S&P 500 for CPI inflation, it's near all time highs. And if we're going to be careful, you have to also take dividend reinvestment into account, which has the opposite effect of inflation. Neglecting dividend reinvestment will cause indices underestimate the true growth of a dollar.
Here's a quickly Googled source showing CPI-adjusted S&P 500: http://www.multpl.com/inflation-adjusted-s-p-500
Here's another quickly Googled source showing dividend-reinvested S&P 500 returns: http://www.indexologyblog.com/2013/08/08/inside-the-sp-500-d...
I wish I could find a decent source that incorporated both effects.