I think the mistake is assuming that $20/mo/fan is the upper bound. That's just a baseline direct subscription number. What ESPN should do then is offer a menu of more specialized sports products on top of that baseline. I do think there's going to be a painful transition in their business model in moving from leveraging a price from a wide range of cable subscribers, to offering premium products directed at sports fans. But, for all the pain, I think there's plenty of money to be made.
Re:The Sports Bubble Is About to Pop
by spacecowboy_lon on Tuesday December 08, 2015 @12:35PM
(#10697915)
$20 a month woudl be cheap when compared to the Murdoch Tax in the uk to watch skysports.
Or £5 ($8) a month for BT Sport, which has some Premiership football, though not all.
I'm not a [watching] sports fan — is BT Sport making much impact in Britain?
Re:The Sports Bubble Is About to Pop
by spacecowboy_lon on Wednesday December 09, 2015 @03:47AM
(#10702615)
Its upsetting News international who have been lobbying to hobble BT
Pricing per-month is not the way to go. They need to move to streaming, and price per-event. $5 per event sounds like a great deal, and I bet I'd end up spending more than $40/month at that rate at least at certain times of the year (i.e. when my favorite sports are in season).
With that premise and those numbers from the article, the crash will be something like a 35% drop in revenue (bounded by 25% and 50%) for sports teams when the transition from obfuscated to transparent pricing is complete. That seems like a big deal.