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A comment on How Solar Power Could Slay the Fossil Fuel Empire (2014).

Re:How Solar Power Could Slay the Fossil Fuel Empire (2014) by bavcyc on Tuesday December 08, 2015 @11:03AM (#10697155)
Interesting article.

I can't remember who said it, but humans tend to over-estimate change in the long term, and under-estimate change in the short term.

It will be interesting to see what changes do occur in this time frame.

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Re:How Solar Power Could Slay the Fossil Fuel Empire (2014) by yourapostasy on Tuesday December 08, 2015 @11:40AM (#10697460)
That is Amara's Law [1]. The paraphrase given by Cringely that is commonly quoted (to my knowledge, Amara himself never gave as concise a quote as the paraphrase) is:

"We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run."

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roy_Amara

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